Cards, authorization, and disputes
Understand card states, authentication, liability, and delayed feedback.
The lamp is now a bicycle. Maya sees a pending $600 card entry and calls it a charge. Support calls it an authorization. Finance calls it neither revenue nor settled cash. All three teams need the same state diagram before the bicycle leaves the warehouse.
Authorization and capture
Authentication is one layer
Authentication tests control of a credential or interaction. It does not prove that a merchant will deliver goods, that a customer was not manipulated, or that every later claim is false. A successful challenge can reduce some uncertainty while leaving other risk intact.
Treat authentication outcomes as structured evidence. Store the method, result, time, and applicable provider fields. Do not infer liability shift from a generic authenticated flag. Network rules, transaction type, and the precise result determine any shift. Customer friction is also a cost: repeated challenges can cause abandonment, especially when recovery paths are poor.
- ChallengeAsk for stronger proof
- ResultStore the exact response
- DecisionCombine with remaining risks
- Credential control
- Evidence about access
- Purchase legitimacy
- Evidence about the whole transaction
Authentication evidence
Illustrative data; not a real customer record or a prescribed policy.
- Challengecompleted
One positive signal
- Delivery addressrecently changed
Separate risk signal
- Liability shiftnot established
Needs applicable rule evidence
Authentication does not erase other signals
Evaluate the remaining transaction context. Authentication does not erase other signals.
- Failure mode 1avoid
- Approve every linked payment forever. Evidence has a limited scope.
- Failure mode 2avoid
- Assume all disputes are impossible. Rights and liability still depend on rules.
- Failure mode 3avoid
- Delete the address-change event. It remains relevant evidence.
Disputes create delayed labels
A dispute is an allegation in a defined process. Some disputes concern unauthorized use; others concern goods, cancellation, or processing. A dispute outcome is useful feedback, but it is not a perfect label for criminal intent. A merchant may lose because evidence was late or incomplete.
Track event dates separately: purchase, dispute receipt, evidence submission, decision, and recovery. Compare cohorts at the same age. A week-old merchant cohort looks clean partly because disputes have not arrived. Train a model only with labels that had time to develop, and record when each label became available.
Suppose a September dashboard compares one merchant’s August sales with another merchant’s January sales. The older cohort has had more time to develop disputes. A higher observed dispute rate may reflect that extra observation time, a different customer mix, or a real control problem. Compare cohorts at a similar age and keep the original purchase date separate from the dispute date. Operations still needs a current workload view, so the organization may correctly maintain both a purchase-cohort report and a dispute-arrival report. Their totals answer different management needs.
- PurchaseExposure begins
- DisputeAn allegation arrives later
- OutcomeProcess produces a result
- Dispute reason
- Category of the claim
- Fraud ground truth
- Best available evidence of deception
Delayed feedback record
Illustrative data; not a real customer record or a prescribed policy.
- Purchaseday 0
Observation time
- Disputeday 35
Label arrives later
- Training cutoffday 10
Dispute unavailable then
The feature was not available at decision time
No; that leaks future information. The feature was not available at decision time.
- Failure mode 1avoid
- Yes because the purchase already existed. Event existence does not reveal future outcomes.
- Failure mode 2avoid
- Yes if the dispute was later upheld. Later certainty still comes from the future.
- Failure mode 3avoid
- Only if the amount is small. Amount does not change temporal leakage.
Build evidence at the event
Dispute evidence is stronger when it was collected in the ordinary flow. Record the terms shown, customer acceptance, fulfillment evidence, communication, and refund history with timestamps. Retrofitting records after a claim invites errors and makes the chain harder to defend.
Do not submit everything merely because storage is cheap. Match evidence to the reason for the dispute, protect personal data, and respect submission limits. Measure whether evidence was complete and timely separately from whether the merchant won. A low win rate can reflect weak claims, weak records, weak routing, or a poor decision to contest.
- CollectCapture event-time evidence
- AssembleMatch evidence to claim type
- SubmitVerify receipt before deadline
- Relevant evidence
- Answers the disputed fact
- Large attachment
- May add volume without proof
Fulfillment packet
Illustrative data; not a real customer record or a prescribed policy.
- Receiptorder-219
Links to the disputed purchase
- Delivery proofdated carrier event
Supports delivery only
- Refund lognone
Checks duplicate reimbursement
It speaks to the disputed fact
Dated delivery evidence linked to the order. It speaks to the disputed fact.
- Failure mode 1avoid
- The merchant company logo. Branding does not prove delivery.
- Failure mode 2avoid
- A unrelated login screenshot. It may not concern fulfillment.
- Failure mode 3avoid
- The current homepage. It does not establish the past delivery.
Keep denominators honest
A dispute count divided by transaction count is not the same as disputed value divided by payment value. The period and eligible population also matter. Network monitoring programs define their own metrics, exclusions, and dates. Do not reuse an internal ratio as a claim of network compliance.
In an illustrative cohort, 20 disputes from 10,000 sales is 0.2 percent by count. If those disputes total $8,000 on $400,000 of sales, the value ratio is 2 percent. Both are correct. Neither describes net loss until recoveries and other costs are considered. Write the denominator beside every chart.
- Count20 divided by 10000
- Value8000 divided by 400000
- InterpretKeep the metric definition visible
- Count ratio
- 0.2 percent of sales disputed
- Value ratio
- 2 percent of sale value disputed
Illustrative cohort report
Illustrative data; not a real customer record or a prescribed policy.
- Sales10000
Eligible count
- Disputes20
Same cohort definition
- Disputed value8000 USD
Not necessarily final loss
The numerators and denominators measure different quantities
Disputed transactions can have different sizes. The numerators and denominators measure different quantities.
- Failure mode 1avoid
- One must be a calculation error. Both can be correct.
- Failure mode 2avoid
- Networks always use value. Program definitions vary.
- Failure mode 3avoid
- Recovery always equals disputed value. Recovery is a separate outcome.
Chapter connections
This chapter builds on Money movement and the risk map. Continue with ACH, bank debits, and returns to follow the next part of the system. Use the glossary for terminology and risk mathematics for formulas and worked calculations.